| Adam
Rosen has a law degree from Villanova and trained in psychology at
Harvard. He's also handsome and has a passion for social causes. But
there's one thing the 37-year-old bachelor doesn't have in his life:
candidates to be Mrs. Rosen. "I
thought I'd be married by 30," says the Boston therapist. "This
is a great divergence from what I imagined my life would be."
There's a new
biological clock out there--the one ticking inside bachelors. After
decades in which men statistically had the upper hand in the dating
world, the demographics have reversed: For a big chunk of the dating
pool--people ages 30 to 44--the number of single men and women are
now about even, or in some cases, slightly tipped in women's favor.
The odds are especially dismal for men looking for younger mates:
By 2010, according to the United States Census Bureau, men in their
late 30s and early 40s will outnumber women five to 10 years younger
by two to one.
`The tables
have turned'
What's happening
here is a subtle but significant change in the birth rate. While
the numbers of boys and girls born every year are roughly the same,
the overall birthrate dropped 40 percent from 1955 to 1973. Because
more than half of all men marry younger women, that means their
pool of prospects shrinks a bit every year. "The tables have
turned," says Sherry Cooper, an economist who has written about
demographic shifts. "Guys in that 35-year-old range are going
to have a harder time."
Matchmakers
and dating companies are already seeing the impact. Social
Circles, a New York singles group, has seen membership among 35-
to 44-year-old men soar 25-fold since it started in 1997, while
women in the same age group grew at about half that rate.
At It's Just
Lunch, which pairs professionals, the percentage of female membership
dropped 9 percent in the last three years. And online firm Match.com
is so eager to recruit women, it started a new ad campaign to find
more.
"We're
all chasing after the same women," says Jim Hague, a 33- year-old
Web designer from California who says he got only a handful of daily
e-mails from some online services. His female friends, however,
got 200 e-mails a day. Indeed, 40-year-old Suzanne Mulroy got so
many e-mails from her service that she put it on hold. "I thought
I'd get a response," Mulroy says, "but I didn't think
I was going to get this deluge."
All of which,
of course, is a significant shift from the 1980s; at the start of
that decade, for example, there were about 1.3 women for every eligible
man from 35 to 44. The odds were even better for the narrower group
of men in their late 30s dating women in their early 30s: Almost
two women for every single man. Many people still remember the 1986
Newsweek article that famously, if controversially, declared that
a single, college-educated, 40-year-old woman had a better chance
of being killed by a terrorist than of ever tying the knot.
Odds worse for
men
But in the years
since, the odds have gotten worse for the one- time supermale. Far
from an abundance of bachelorettes, today there's a small shortage
-- for every million 30-something women, there is a surplus of 80,000
men of the same age. Men looking for younger women will find even
more competition: Within nine years, there will be one woman that's
30 to 34 for every two men 35 to 44, according to one set of projections
by the United States Census.
How did this
shift occur? For starters, with more women than men on the dating
scene, men played the field and postponed marriage-- sometimes until
their 40s, much later than previous generations.
Thinking they
had tons of options, especially as divorce rates grew, some men
got pickier, too, demanding not only good looks but also good jobs
from their mates. That narrowed the field even more: By one estimate,
men in their early 30s making $75,000 or more outnumber women of
the same earning power two to one.
Pop culture's
part
All the while,
pop culture only perpetuated the belief that men had the advantage,
with shows like "Sex and the City" and novels like "Bridget
Jones's Diary" harping on themes of the desperate, single woman.
And lots of
people still believe it. "Men feel they have the upper hand,"
says Lisa Doherty, a 40-year-old public-relations executive.
When she has
gone on dates, Doherty says men have told her they want a younger
woman.
But slowly,
evidence of the shift is cropping up.
Take personal
ads, the quintessential dating device of the '80s and '90s. While
the ratio of men to women placing ads varies from city to city,
many towns are seeing notable jumps in male advertisers. At Chicago
Magazine, for example, the percent of personals placed by women
skidded 38 percent in just two years.
So when will
things get better for members of the lonely hearts men's club?
Not until the
generation born in the late 1970s and early 1980s comes of marriageable
age, according to demographers. By then, higher birthrates will
tip the scales back in men's favor. About 2005, experts say it'll
be rich pickings for men who now are in their early 20s.
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